Eastern Spinebill (Acanthorynchus tenuirostris) – gouache on paper, modeled after the composition by Greg Oatley in Homage to the Bird
Eastern Spinebill (Acanthorynchus tenuirostris) – gouache on paper, modeled after the composition by Greg Oatley in Homage to the Bird
Australian White Ibis Threskiornis Moluccan “bin chicken”
An increasingly common resident of Sydney suburbs, especially where there is nearby bushland and around the harbour. Fox control has increased their ability to survive in suburban areas.
The teenaged members of the household are all about the Marvel Cinematic Universe – so discussion of Ragnarok and Thor occasionally comes up. This got me thinking more about the origin stories for Thor, Loki and Odin. And down a rabbit hole I went. Firstly I binged 15 hours of Wagner’s Ring Cycle via Youtube. The Ring Cycle led to watching the rest of the Wagner operas and reading Wagner commentaries from Alex Ross and Roger Scruton. Wanting to know more about Yggdrasil, the World Ash Tree, Sleipnir the 8-legged horse of Odin (Wotan) and Odin’s ravens Huginn (Thought) and Muninn (Memory) I went back to the Eddas, Sagas and the Nibelunglied. Along the way I took in Tolkien’s version of the the story of Sigurd and Gudrun. Noting some of the other sources for Wagner I then pivoted to Grail Lore and the Arthurian Romances, Parsifal. Along the way I also came across Arab tourist guides of the Rus lands – encounters with Vikings.
Some themes in these ancient and not so ancient texts:
Of course there was more than this including more serious themes about power, lover and desire but the list propels the action.
I attempted to listen to a Piano Sonata everyday of the year and did so until August when Primephonic was taken over by Apple with promises of a new Apple classical music offering coming soon – in 2022. Primephonic was a fantastic classical streaming music service. It was so good because of its’ search function. You could search for a specific composer and composition and see literally every recording and how many recordings existed of a particular piece. The use of information/metadata about a classical piece on Apple Music and Spotify is incredibly poor. They also had great customer service – making timely corrections to the recording information when I notified them. Hopefully the new service will be up and running soon. Until the service shut I posted the daily sonata to Facebook and Twitter.
I came across a number of Jordan Peterson YouTube discussions with various psychologists and researchers including Brian C. Muraresku, Scott Barry Kaufman, and John Vervaeke. Muraresku and Kaufman discussed their work on transcendent experience but from quite different perspectives. Muraresku has written (see below) on the role of psychedelics in Ancient Greek ritual at Eleusis and how they were initially incorporated into the early Christian experiences. I love the ancient saying “If you don’t die before you die, you die when you die”. Kaufman approaches transcendence more from the the perspective of an update and further development of Maslow’s hierarchy of needs. I went on to read about recent research in psychadelics and transcendent, life-changing experience. The endgame hear literally is death and the failure to accept mortality – something I routinely come across in my occupation as a cancer specialist.
The John Vervaeke discovery was the real find of the year. I have finished all 50 episodes of John Vervaeke’s YouTube series Awakening from the Meaning Crisis – whilst I used the rowing machine. This series concerns the rediscovery of the ability to make meaning in life (not the meaning of life) and living in the being mode not the having mode. It traverses historical themes, philosophy, some theology, neuroscience, artificial intelligence, theories of wisdom, developmental psychology and principally cognitive science. There is a great supplementary video on the theory of zombies. I highly recommend this series which is a mini-course in mostly Western Civilisation but also strong reference to non-theistic religions of the East and their relevance to meaning making. A number of the books I read in the second half of the year are recommended through the series. The videos are on Youtube and the transcripts are here [https://www.meaningcrisis.co].
A reading list is here [https://www.goodreads.com/list/show/149801.John_Vervaeke_s_Awakening_From_the_Meaning_Crisis].
In the end Vervaeke doesn’t seem explicit about how to overcome the meaning crisis. I think this is in part because he hasn’t definitively solved the problem or at least he doesn’t wan’t to claim to have: he is very modest and self-deprecating but also as a philosopher he is loath to claim to know the truth, especially when a lot of what he discusses is the work of others. He also has the issue of distinguishing between the meaning crisis at the level of the individual and the level of society. With respect to the former he seems to advocate for the creation of flow states as per the work of Csiksentmihalyi and to create autopoetic states – to recreate the being mode. I extrapolate synergies with Camus’ Myth of Sisyphus – To Be – and also the need to accept (the) absurdity (meaninglessness) by being . At a societal level his problem is that he has provided a detailed explanation of how religion has failed to provide the meaning it once did and that it cannot revive itself and yet a community of people must embrace a religion-like ‘thing’ to overcome the meaning crisis. He hints at a non-theistic path. He has much more to watch and read beyond the series so I expect conclusions will be better articulated over time.
Aside from the above I threw in some history and political reading around China and climate change. I strongly recommend The Good Ancestor (see the reading list). For ‘lighter’ entertainment I read feminist fiction reinterpretations of the Homeric poems. These were fine and I don’t think fall into the work identified in Cynical Theories (see the reading list). Cynical Theories calls out, but doesn’t quite cancel, the problems of the extreme left views in educational institutions – reflecting the issue that some (not enough) commentators are making that both the extreme right and the extreme left use identity inappropriately and to no good end.
That wasn’t all I heard, watched, read but it’s enough to blog about. Now I need to go make some resolutions….
The 2021 Reading List
“I’m very confident we can solve this,” Mr Morrison said, sharpening his re-election pitch to voters ahead of next year’s poll. “I have much more confidence based on the track record of world history that this will be solved by the entrepreneurs and the scientists and the industrialists and the risk-takers and the investors, and supported by smart regulation.” – From Rob Harris in the Sydney Morning Herald November 13, 2021
Let’s dissect this proclamation.
At least in the first statement the PM is acknowledging it won’t be him fixing the problem, what ever ‘this’ is.
Isn’t “the track record of history” a tautology?
Anyways, I am curious from what date Mr Morrison envisages this history of “entrepreneurs and the scientists and the industrialists and the risk-takers and the investors” started. Maybe the Renaissance? Or perhaps the Scientific Revolution? The spirit of the British and Dutch East India Companies comes to mind. Not to mention those brave industrialists who dug up coal to fuel their empires of train networks and steel mills.
I do not dispute that science leads to great and disruptive innovation. After all, where would Australia be if it weren’t for the need to observe the Transit of Venus.
But let’s not forget that purposeful science to overcome big problems has historically been underwritten by government before the venture capitalists became involved. Think the Manhattan Project and the Moon Landing – both in excess of 20 Billion US in contemporary currency. The Human Genome Project in excess of 3 Billion Dollars. Military applications led to many innovations like the internet – think DARPA. Closer to home CSIRO brought us wifi. Much biomedical research starts in government funded university labs before biotechs and pharmaceutical companies pick up the patents.
Promises of 500M to 1 Billion AUD don’t add-up to much when you compare the ‘moonshot’ projects. Even when you use other comparisons like the percentage of Australian GDP, the cost of running a larger Australian Hospital each year (about 400-500M) or the size of the Australian poultry industry (about 850M) the sums Australia are committing are tiny.
Finally, what is “smart regulation”? Mr Morrison has already said that Australians are sick of mandates – especially those coming from Labor. Smart almost certainly doesn’t mean evidence-based. That would mean following the science…..oh I forgot, the scientists are going to save us. I suspect smart regulation are regulations that don’t increase taxes and ergo reduce votes.
Weasel Words – they’re the Australian Way.
Last week the CEO of Facebook, Mark Zuckerberg, announced a rebrand and new direction for social media company. The company named Meta will develop the metaverse….the what-averse you ask? Kevin Roose in the New York Times (Oct 29, 2021) summarises: “Mr. Zuckerberg painted a picture of the metaverse as a clean, well-lit virtual world, entered with virtual and augmented reality hardware at first and more advanced body sensors later on, in which people can play virtual games, attend virtual concerts, go shopping for virtual goods, collect virtual art, hang out with each others’ virtual avatars and attend virtual work meetings.”
The metaverse would use virtual and augmented reality (VR/AR) technologies already in existence but with the expectation that there will be considerable advances that would allow individuals to be completely immersed in the other worldly experience and potentially all the time.
VR/AR has some great applications outside gaming. These include simulation for healthcare training and therapeutic applications in mental health like treatment of anxiety disorders, particularly those that include phobias or situational distress.
But despite the cool factor of VR/AR we aught to cautious and learn from the past. The meta verse simply amplifies the actual harms of social media.
So run this thought experiment – what is Facebook’s product? If you think it is an app to allow friends to interact with each other your are wrong. Facebook is an algorithm driven network designed to facilitate behaviour change to the benefit of paying advertisers who do not just want you to buy stuff but also vote for Governments. Meta, the company formerly known as Facebook, is the poster-child for Shoshana Zuboff’s surveillance economy. Machine learning sends you content and you react.
The metaverse is social media on steroids. Much has been written about the way social media, in particular Facebook, produces echo chambers. People are streamed what Facebook thinks they are interested in, so reinforcing belief systems. This can only have a stronger effect in a metaverse because a metaverse does two things simultaneously: it embeds you in an alternate reality that caters to your capacity for self-deception (aka., bullshit) whilst divorcing you from exposure to actual reality.
Actual reality is what people need and crave. COVID-19 lockdowns prove that people want real not virtual experience. In stating this I do not wish to imply there should be no VR/AR…working from home is a game changer, but I don’t think anybody would trade a real experience to a virtual experience unless their real experiences were seriously deficient.
On the latter point, is there any way of justifying a metaverse. I think there is but it hinges on an analogy that is already being explored in medical/scientific circles. What if VR/AR can produce transcendent experiences in the way that psychedelics can? By this I make an assumption that the reader accepts the evidence that psychedelics can produce transcendent experience. If VR/AR can do this then it may be worthwhile but if it is truly able to do it then there is a paradox….the transcendent experience, at least on psychedelics, is not addictive. It might be replicated over time but those that experience transcendence are not addicts after the events. It would be in the interest of Mr Zuckerberg not to achieve this as it would be disadvantageous for his stock price.
The fact that VR/AR can be used for therapeutic purposes in mental health is a canary in a coal mine. It means that these technologies can also be harmful and in a way that makes current social media look primitive.
From a surveillance capitalism perspective we must also recognise that the metaverse is going to rely on more than just your posts to generate the profiles it needs to make money. In the metaverse your biometric data will be in the Facebook/Meta cloud waiting to be exploited.
I have no objection to Facebook rebranding and redirecting as Meta but as a society we need to start exploring how we regulate this now, not once we realise we are in a dystopian version of Ready Player One.
Oh, and by the way, the blockchain and AI needed to power this metaverse is definitely not environmentally friendly.
Currently Australia, or at least New South Wales and Victoria are in the midst of continuous or rolling, recurring lockdowns. For Sydney this is the first real surgery of the COVID-19 pandemic having largely been successful at transmission suppression in the time prior to Easter 2021. The reason is the emergence of the delta variant of COVID-19 just at the point when the Australian vaccination campaign was being implemented. Due to the tyranny of distance vaccine distribution in Australia was delayed whilst Europe and North America received their shots. During that time vaccine hesitancy, or more specifically Astra-Zeneca hesitancy, became common due to the emergence of a low probability but potentially fatal coagulation disruption called VIPIT. Pfizer was not yet available and the medical communicators were equivocating. Meanwhile the delta variant was arriving by plane and evading hotel quarantine. This variant seems more transmissible, possibly due to higher viral load in the infected, and appears to cause more serious illness in younger individuals than earlier variants.
The Australian Government and the NSW Government have indicated lockdowns will not be needed once 70% of the population are fully vaccinated. This should occur, with current vaccination rates, towards the end of October 2021. What is the significance of the 70% target. The United Kingdom is the example to note. At approximately 75% of the population over 16 years of age fully vaccinated the UK is still experience a surge of cases of around 30K per day – roughly half the peak at the start of 2021 and predominantly driven by delta. Most of the cases are unvaccinated or partially vaccinated although some breakthrough cases are occurring. Notably the risk of hospitalisation is reduced and the number dying each day is <100 (counting deaths that occur within 28 days of diagnosis. This is versus a daily death toll that peaked at 1800.
To date the Australian approach seems to have been to pursue freedom through perfection: tight border controls, zero local cases and zero transmission. This has been achieved with snap lockdowns, masking, etc. Even more perfect that Australia has been New Zealand, which is even more remote from the rest of the world.
Australia and New Zealand cannot remain islands unto themselves forever and they can’t stay locked down forever. From a practical perspective it is actually unknown at the current time whether or not the current lockdown settings or any lockdown settings are strong enough to suppress a delta variant outbreak. Based on the current situation in the UK and making a major assumption that the situation won’t deteriorate due to waning immunity or the emergence of a even more virulent and transmissible variant, Australia will need to get used to living with the presence of COVID-19 if it is going to relax lockdown.
Living with endemic COVID-19 means that despite high vaccination rates and herd immunity due to the combination of vaccination and infection/exposure individuals will become infected, most will have milder illness but there will still be, based on the current UK experience, hospitalisations and deaths.
Let’s assume 70% vaccination is by the end of October and true to the word of the politicians the lockdown is lifted and internal borders are opened – then what? Well in 10 WEEKS the Australian healthcare system needs to be able to accomodate a manageable number of hospitalisations and ICU admissions AND be able to conduct as much business as usual activity as possible. If we are unable to re-open the healthcare system then either the lockdowns don’t end or the whole situation needs re-thinking.
The other part of the mindset that will need to change is that we will need to accept that there will be some deaths. Australia is fortunate that there have been no influenza death for 12 months. This is not the norm and in a cyclical fashion Australia regularly has in the order of 1000 deaths per annum. This may be where we land with endemic COVID-19. The current influenza mortality rate is due to a combination of the local measures put in place to fight covid, rigid border control and ongoing vaccination programs. It is implausible that we will reach a state of no deaths from COVID-19 even after herd immunity is achieved so we need to learn to live with some poor outcomes.
Overall, and despite the current surge, Australia has been relatively good at responding to the pandemic. Where Australia has failed is planning adequately for the short and medium term future, implementing some of the plans (like vaccination) and in becoming complacent when things were going well. Now that things aren’t going well it is time once again to move at pace and scale to ensure the resilience of the healthcare system beyond October and to develop effective communications strategies to that the public knows where the ship is sailing to and that sometime we need to change tack.
America is in chaos.
Simplistically this is about a personality, Trump, claiming the priorities of his ‘populist’ base.
But this is too simple.
America was founded on a promise and a dream….truths self evident that all men are created equal.
And yet many of the people believed and continue to believe that all men are not equal. And in particular some men are inferior – those inferiors being blacks, women, gays, non-Christians, the impoverished and the like.
And yet, America also promotes the notion that it is the land of opportunity. Anybody can rise to success and wealth off the back of their own sweat and perseverance. This is not true. The USA has low rates of moving upwards in socioeconomic terms and the the reasons include a false meritocracy and a local of true equality.
I spent some months in the USA in the mid-1990’s and attended lectures at an esteemed mental health faculty. The message I took away was that America actually doesn’t care about the mentally unwell or to be more specific, the underprivileged, the poor.
And so, I can only conclude, that equality and individualism as ideals are incompatible bedfellows, especially when greatness is founded in bigotry.
And so we are left with a Capitol stormed by agents of chaos. They seek their own order but bring no organizing principles.
Ironically the Congress, House and Senate, are now tasked with recovering from COVID -19 and a brave new world where the ‘base’ is the underclass and they will and demand and the very same social supports that they deride as socialism.
I don’t know where the USA should go from here but it must re-invent itself and perhaps it should start by looking in the mirror and conducting a reality check.